Cluster Analysis of Iran’s Global Position Based on Sustainable Economic Development Framework

Document Type : Original research

Authors

1 Ph. D, Department of Management, Science and Research Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran

2 Associate Professor, Department of Management, Central Tehran Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran

Abstract

Economic development refers to the processes and policies that a society employs to ensure its citizens' economic, political, and social well-being. To assess Iran's economic development status and global ranking, the World Bank determined eight indicators effective in assessing Iran's sustainable economic development status using the Delphi method and expert opinions, among other methods. The indicators are Gross National Product (GDP); merchandise exports; merchandise imports; gross savings; GDP per capita; taxes on income, profits, and capital gains; broad money growth; and PPP conversion factor. The purpose of this research is to investigate Iran's economic status and global position using these indicators and the clustering technique; Then it identifies the most similar countries in the last 18 years to Iran. The results showed that Iran has been co-clustered mostly with Indonesia, Vietnam, Sao Tomé and Príncipe, i.e., 13 times between 1996 and 2016; seven times with Nigeria, and six times with Colombia and Paraguay. Following research findings, a number of policy recommendations are presented

Keywords


منابع
 
Aldrich, H. E., & Martinez, M. (2003). Entrepreneurship as Social Construction: A Multilevel Evolutionary Approach. In Z.A. Acs & D. Audretsch (Eds.) Handbook of Entrepreneurship Research, An Interdisciplinary Survey and Introduction, 359–99. London: Kluwer.
Ambrosini, V., & Bowman, C. (2009). What are dynamic capabilities and are they a useful construct in strategic management?. International Journal of Management Review, 11, 29–49.
Armstrong, J. S., & Green, K. C. (2005). Demand Forecasting: Evidence-based Methods. Strategic Marketing Management: A Business Process Approach, edited by Luiz Moutinho and Geoff Southern.
Balazs, J., & Gaspar, J. (2010). Taking care of each other: Solid economic base for living together, Futures, 42(1), 69-74.
Brown, S. L., & Eisenhardt, K. M. (1997). The art of continuous change: linking complexity theory and time-paced evolution in relentlessly shifting organizations. Administrative Science Quarterly, 42, 1–34.
Burmeister, K., Neef, A., & Beyers, B. (2005). Corporate foresight. Murmann Verlag.
Collis, D., & Montgomery, C. (1995). Competing on resources: strategy in the 1990s. Harvard Business Review, 73, 118–128.
Cooper, A. C., & Dunkelberg, W. C. (1987). Entrepreneurial Research: Old Question, New Answers and Methodological Issues. American Journal of Small Business, 11(3), 11–23.
Cunha, M. P., Palma, P., & da Costa, N. G. (2006). Fear of foresight: Knowledge and ignorance in organizational foresight. Futures, 38(8), 942-955.
Davidsson, P. (1995). Culture, Structure and Regional Levels of Entrepreneurship. Entrepreneurship and Regional Development, 7(1), 41–62.
Dean, D., Mihalasky, J., Ostrander, S., & Schroeder, L. (1974). Executive ESP. Englewood Cliffs N.J., Prentice Hall.
Dutta, S., Narasimhan, O., & Rajiv, S. (2005). Conceptualizing and measuring capabilities: methodology and empirical application. Strategic Management Journal, 26, 277–285.
Eisenhardt, K. M., & Martin, J. A. (2000). Dynamic capabilities: what are they?. Strategic Management Journal, 21, 1105–1121.
Fontela, E., Guzmán, J., Pérez, M., & Santos, F. J. (2006). The art of entrepreneurial foresight. Foresight8(6), 3-13.
Fuller, T., & Warren, L. (2006). Entrepreneurship as foresight: A complex social network perspective on organizational foresight. Futures, 38, 956-971.
Gersick, C. J. G. (1991). Revolutionary change theories—a multilevel exploration of the punctuated equilibrium paradigm. Academic Management Review, 16, 10–36.
Helfat, C. E., & Peteraf, M. A. (2003). The dynamic resource-based view: capability lifecycles. Strategic Management Journal, 24, 997–1010.
Kahn, K. B. (2006). New product Forecasting. M. E. Sharpe.
Jantsch, E (1967). Technological Forecasting in Perspective. Paris: OECD.
Kavolis, V. (1964). Economic correlates of Artistic Creativity. The American Journal of Sociology, 70(3), 332-341.
Kirzner, I. (1997). Entrepreneurial discovery and the competitive market process: an Austrian approach. Journal of Economic Literature, 35, 60–85.
Knight, F. (1921). Risk, Uncertainty and Profit. Houghton Mifflin, New York.
Krueger, N., & Casrud, A. L. (1993). Entrepreneurial intentions: Applying the theory of planned behavior. Entrepreneurship and Regional Development, 5, 315–30.
Krueger, N. (2003). The Cognitive Psychology of Entrepreneurship. In Z.A. Acs. & D.D. Audretsch (Eds.) Handbook of Entrepreneurship Research: An Interdisciplinary Survey and Introduction, 40-105. Londres: Kluwer.
Levinthal, D. A. (1994). Surviving Schumpeterian environments: an evolutionary perspective. Evolutionary Dynamics of Organizations, 167, 178.
Locke, E. A. (2000). The prime movers: traits of the great wealth creators. New York: AMACOM.
McKelvey, B. (2004). Toward a complexity theory of entrepreneurship. Journal of Business Venturing, 19(3), 313-341.
Von Mises, L. (1949). Human action: A treatise on economics. New Haven, CT: Yale University Press.
Neneh, B. (2019). From entrepreneurial alertness to entrepreneurial behavior: The role of trait competitiveness and proactive personality. Personality and Individual Differences, 138(1), 273-279.
Ohmae, K. (1983). The mind of the strategist. Harmondsworth: Penguin.
Renko, M, Shrader, R. C., & Simon, M. (2012). Perception of entrepreneurial opportunity: a general framework. Management Decision, 50(7), 1233–1251.
Rohrbeck, R., & Gemunden, H. G. (2011). Corporate foresight: Its three roles in enhancing the innovation capacity of a firm. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 78(2), 231-243.
Rohrbeck, R. (2009). Innovating for the future-The roles of corporate foresight in innovation management. European Center for Information and Communication Technology (EICT), Berlin, Germany & Technische Universitat Berlin.
Rohrbeck, R. (2012). Exploring value creation from corporate-foresight activities. Futures44(5), 440-452.
Sarasvathy, S. D. (2001a). Causation and effectuation: Toward a theoretical shift from economic inevitability to entrepreneurial contingency. Academy of Management Review, 26(2), 243-288.
Sarasvathy, S. D. (2001b). Effectual reasoning in entrepreneurial decision making: Existence and bounds. Best Paper Proceedings, Academy of Management 2001, Washington DC.
Sarasvathy, S. D. (2008). Effectuation: Elements of Entrepreneurial Expertise. Edward Elgar Publishing Limited, Cheltenham, UK.
Shane, S. (1994). Cultural Values and the Championing Process. Entrepreneurship: Theory and Practice, 18(4), 25–41.
Schumpeter, J, A. (1934). The theory of economic development. New Brunswick, NJ, Transaction Publishers.
Schwarz, J. O., Rohrbeck, R., & Wach, B. (2020). Corporate foresight as a microfoundation of dynamic capabilities. Futures & Foresight Science2(2), e28.
Teece, D. J., Pisano, G., & Shuen, A. (1997). Dynamic capabilities and strategic management. Strategic Management Journal, 18, 509–533.
Twiss, B. C. (1992). Forecasting for Technologist and engineers: a practical guide for better predictions. London, UK.
Valliere, D. (2013). Towards a schematic theory of entrepreneurial alertness. Journal of Business Venturing, 28(3), 430-442.
Vishnevskiy, K., Karasev, O., & Meissner, D. (2015). Integrated roadmaps and corporate foresight as tools of innovation management: the case of Russian companies. Technological Forecasting and Social Change90, 433-443.
Wordenweber, B., & Weissflog, U. (2005). Innovation Cell: Agile Teams to Master Disruptive Innovation. Springer.
Wright, R. W., & Ricks, D. A. (1994). Trends in international business research: Twenty five years later. Journal of International Business Studies, 25(4), 687-701.
Zivdar, M., & Imanipour, N. (2017). Antecedents of New Venture Creation Decision in Iranian High-tech Industries: Conceptualizing by a Non-Teleological Approach. The Qualitative Report, 22(3), 732-744.